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WRUF NOTES

Florida at Texas

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 | 12:00 PM EDT | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Data saved Oct 14, 2026 11:34 AM EDT ·

Previous-game notes

2 notes

Florida 19–38 South Carolina · 2026-10-10 | Texas 24–27 Oklahoma · 2026-10-10

PREVIOUS GAME NOTES | FLORIDA

South Carolina 38, Florida 19 | October 10

  • Completions without enough return: 27-for-36(75%), 267 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs. Screens were 10-for-10 for just 53 yards.
  • Stockton and Wilson carried the receiving: 127 and 74 yards, respectively; 75.3% of Florida's receiving yards and 20 of 36 targets.
  • Too many disrupted downs: Baugh had 59 yards on 15 carries, with 5 stuffs. Florida allowed pressure on 14/43 dropbacks and 3 sacks; 8 blown pass blocks on 43 blocking snaps.
  • Pressure didn't become stops: Florida's pressure rate improved to 36.8%, but South Carolina threw for 284 yards and 4 TDs. 111 of 127 rushing yards allowed came after contact; the 31.3% broken/missed-tackle rate was the highest among 125 Florida games reviewed.
  • Yards left unfinished: drives of 72, 52 and 62 yards ended in a field goal, missed field goal and fumble.

PREVIOUS GAME NOTES | TEXAS

Oklahoma 27, Texas 24 | October 10

  • The score wasn't all on the defense: Oklahoma had only one offensive TD drive. Texas also conceded TDs on a punt play and an interception return.
  • Halftime stall: Texas's first four second-half possessions were punts: 43 yards on 13 plays. Its next possession ended in the interception-return TD.
  • Late chances slipped away: after a fourth-quarter TD, Texas drove 38 yards on 7 plays and missed a field goal. Its next possession ended in an INT; Oklahoma answered with the winning FG.
  • Downfield risk/reward: Manning was 6-for-12, 162 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs on throws of 10+ air yards(62.3% of passing yards). Against zone: 17-for-27, 204 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs; only 2 man attempts.
  • Limited short-pass help: screens produced 23 yards on 4 attempts; non-screens, 237 on 25(2 unclassified). Run blocking had 5 blown blocks/28 snaps.

Upcoming-game headlines

5 notes

Florida at Texas · Oct 17 · 12:00 PM EDT

Can Baugh get Florida back on schedule?

  • Baugh still has an FBS-leading 12 rushing TDs. His yards/carry fell from 7.23 to 2.67, with declines in every box-count group.
  • 11 of his last 27 carries gained zero or fewer yards, compared with 8 of his first 83.
  • Texas stuffs 20.9% of runs(6th in the SEC) and has the SEC's lowest broken/missed-tackle rate(9.1%).

Texas's pressure meets Florida's protection problems

  • Texas leads the SEC in pressure rate(41.1%); its third-down rate is 51.0%, 3rd.
  • Florida's blown pass-block events rose from 7.2 to 20.0 per 100 team blocking snaps across the two windows.
  • Simmons leads the FBS with 9.5 sacks and 12 TFL. He still has 4 sacks and 11 pressures outside the Tennessee game.

Florida is completing passes, but getting less from them

  • Completion rate barely changed(73.1% to 70.7%); yards/attempt fell from 10.49 to 7.33.
  • Stockton and Wilson account for 53.1% of Florida's receiving yards over the last two games. Stockton had 127 yards against South Carolina, after 25 at Missouri.
  • Texas allows 4.71 yards/attempt in man and 6.86 in zone: 1st and 3rd-lowest in the qualifying SEC coverage samples(minimum 30 attempts).

More stuffs haven't solved Florida's tackling

  • Florida's stuff rate improved(9.3% to 20.3%), but yards after contact allowed/rush rose from 2.65 to 3.74.
  • South Carolina's 31.3% broken/missed-tackle rate was the highest among 125 Florida games reviewed.
  • Texas has its own running-game issues: 44.8% rushing success(SEC 12th), 2.89 line yards/rush(14th).

Manning's deep throws bring yards and interception chances

  • On throws traveling 20+ air yards: 9-for-20, 315 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs.
  • Coleman, Wingo and Mosley have 31, 30 and 28 targets. Coleman and Wingo account for 8 of Texas's 10 receiving TDs.
  • Florida's recent yards/attempt allowed rose in both man(5.15 to 10.65) and zone(7.49 to 10.03). The opportunity is to force mistakes without giving back the explosive play.

Florida

4–2 overall | 2–2 SEC · AP NR | Coaches NR

Pregame notes

Offense: less production on the ground and through the air

  • October slowdown: Florida is 0-2 this October, averaging 18.0 points and 81.0 rushing yards/game, down from 53.5 points and 260.0 rushing yards in its first four games.

    • 2017–2026: 27.6 points/game in October vs. 31.6 in other months; 15-16 in 31 October games.

  • Team yards/carry: 5.88 to 2.57; passing yards/attempt: 10.49 to 7.33.

    • Split | Completion% | Pass Y/A | 20+ air-yard attempt share
    • Weeks 1-4 | 73.1% | 10.49 | 18.3%
    • Weeks 5-6 | 70.7% | 7.33 | 9.3%

  • Blown pass-block events: 8/111 team blocking snaps early; 17/85 recently.

    • 7.2 to 20.0 events per 100 snaps.

  • Run blown blocks: 37/220 team blocking snaps, 16.8 per 100, highest in the SEC; Texas is next at 14.5.

    • Season tackle pass-block rates: Ugorji 8/161(4.97%); Lovett 6/161(3.73%).

  • Without recorded Brown activity in Weeks 5-6, Stockton and Wilson share 37.8% of targets and 53.1% of receiving yards.

    • Abrams's target share rose from 4.9% to 12.2%. Roles are spreading across several receivers.

Defense: penetration and finishing are different problems

  • Stuff rate improved from 9.3% to 20.3%, while yards after contact allowed/rush rose from 2.65 to 3.74.
    • Recent rushing allowed: Missouri 224/34(6.59 Y/C); South Carolina 127/35(3.63). The increase was not consistent across both games.
  • South Carolina's 31.3% broken/missed-tackle rate is highest among 125 Florida games reviewed.
  • Recent pass Y/A allowed: man 5.15 to 10.65; zone 7.49 to 10.03.
  • Season pressure: 27.5%, 15th in the SEC; third down 33.3%, also 15th.
    • Pressure improved from 21.9% at Missouri to 36.8% against South Carolina.

2026 team totals

Statistic Total Statistic Total
Points 250 Pts allowed 174
Total yd 2,843 Yd allowed 2,358
Pass yd 1,641 Rush yd 1,202
Sacks 17 Takeaways 8

Aaron PhiloQB · #12

  • 9.00 yards/attempt, 4th among SEC QBs with at least 100 attempts.
    • 105-for-149, 1,341 yards, 9 TDs and 3 INTs.
  • Throws traveling 20+ air yards: 12-for-22, 379 yards, 17.23 Y/A.
    • 5th among 16 eligible SEC passers with at least 10 deep attempts.
  • At/behind the line: 7.60 Y/A on 52 attempts, 2nd among 17 eligible passers. These throws are not all screens.
  • Questionable as of October 16.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

Cmp/Att 105/149Pass yd 1,341Pass TD 9INT 3Rush yd 104Rush TD 3

Jadan BaughRB · #13

  • FBS-leading 12 rushing TDs, 12 total TDs and 72 points entering Texas.

  • Florida is 9-0 when Baugh rushes for 100+ yards, including 107 yards in last year's Texas win.

  • Baugh's slowdown reaches every box-count group.

    • Split | Carries | Yards | Y/C | Stuffed
    • Weeks 1-4 | 83 | 600 | 7.23 | 8(9.6%)
    • Weeks 5-6 | 27 | 72 | 2.67 | 11(40.7%)

  • Yards/carry by defenders in the box:

    • Box | Weeks 1-4 | Weeks 5-6
    • 6 or fewer | 9.21 | 4.42
    • 7 | 5.46 | 1.43
    • 8+ | 5.71 | 1.13

  • Eight-plus boxes increased from 20.5% to 29.6% of his carries, but the decline also occurred against lighter boxes.

  • Texas stuffs 20.9% of runs and has the lowest broken/missed-tackle rate in the SEC(9.1%).

2026 at Florida · 6 games

Rush att 110Rush yd 672Rush TD 12Rec 7Rec yd 46

Vernell Brown IIIWR · #1

  • 173 punt-return yards against Campbell set a Florida single-game record. His consecutive 64- and 70-yard TD returns made him the second Gator with two in one game, joining Jacquez Green.

  • Led Florida in Weeks 1-4 with 21 targets(20.4%), 17 catches and 271 yards.

  • Early screen receiving: 12 targets, 12 catches, 142 yards and 2 TDs.

  • No recorded activity in Weeks 5-6; Stockton and Wilson each drew 14 targets in that span.

  • Questionable as of October 16.

2026 at Florida · 4 games

Rec 17Rec yd 271Rec TD 2Rush yd 16

Dallas WilsonWR · #6

  • First career start came against Texas last season: 6 catches, 111 yards and 2 TDs in Florida's win.

  • 14 targets, 12 catches and 140 yards over the last two games; tied with Stockton for Florida's target lead in that span.

  • Routes/game increased from 16 in Weeks 1-4 to 25.5 in Weeks 5-6.

  • Wilson and Stockton combined for 37.8% of targets and 53.1% of receiving yards in the recent window.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

Rec 26Rec yd 376Rec TD 3Rush yd 6

Jayden WoodsLB · #0

  • 13 pressures on 142 rushes(9.2%); 4.5 sacks.
  • His sack production is stronger than his pressure/rush rate relative to the other listed Florida rushers.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

TKL 24Solo 14Sacks 4.5TFL 7INT 0FF 1

Jeramiah McCloudDL · #91

  • 9 pressures on 135 rushes(6.7%); 0.5 sacks.
  • Pressure production has been limited relative to his recorded rush workload.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

TKL 21Solo 8Sacks 0.5TFL 1.5INT 0FF 0

Emmanuel OyebadejoDL · #99

  • 14 pressures on 97 rushes(14.4%); 3.5 sacks.
  • More pressures than Woods on fewer rushes, despite fewer sack credits.

2026 at Florida · 5 games

TKL 11Solo 5Sacks 3.5TFL 3.5INT 0FF 1

Tramell Jones Jr.QB · #9

  • 23-for-29, 252 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs; 8.69 yards/attempt.
  • Throws 1-9 air yards: 12-for-13, 122 yards.
    • Deep throws(20+): 1-for-3, 42 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.
  • If needed, the short passing is the clearest reference. Only 29 season attempts; excluding Missouri drops his Y/A to 6.92.

2026 at Florida · 4 games

Cmp/Att 23/29Pass yd 252Pass TD 2INT 2Rush yd 25Rush TD 0

Evan PryorRB · #21

  • Expected to back up Baugh with Duke Clark out, per Florida's October 16 preview.
  • Season: 16 carries for 40 yards; 6 catches for 28.

2026 at Florida · 5 games

Rush att 16Rush yd 40Rush TD 0Rec 6Rec yd 28

Bailey StocktonWR · #3

  • South Carolina: 8 catches, 127 yards on 11 targets, 30.6% of Florida's receiver targets.
    • Split | Targets | Rec | Yards
    • Missouri | 3 | 2 | 25
    • South Carolina | 11 | 8 | 127
  • His role extends beyond screens: 45 of 258 season receiving yards came on screen rows(17.4%).
  • Recent routes/game increased from 12.75 to 27. Targets/route fell from 29.4% to 25.9%; more usage came with more routes.
  • Questionable as of October 16.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

Rec 23Rec yd 258Rec TD 2Rush yd -2

TJ AbramsWR · #4

  • Largest Florida target-share increase from Weeks 1-4 to Weeks 5-6: 4.9% to 12.2%.
    • Split | Targets | Routes/game | Target share
    • Weeks 1-4 | 5 | 6.75 | 4.9%
    • Weeks 5-6 | 9 | 20.5 | 12.2%
  • A larger role while Brown had no recorded activity.

2026 at Florida · 5 games

Rec 10Rec yd 180Rec TD 1Rush yd 0

Brendan BettDL · #90

  • 10 pressures on 67 rushes(14.9%); 0 sacks.
  • Ten pressures without a sack; the disruption is not visible in the sack column.

2026 at Florida · 6 games

TKL 15Solo 4Sacks 0TFL 3INT 0FF 1

Bryce LovettOL · #53

  • Season blown pass blocks: 6/161 snaps(3.73%), 20th-lowest among 34 tackles with at least 100 pass-block snaps.
  • Run blown blocks: 5/185(2.70%), 25th-lowest among 31 qualifying tackles.
  • Texas brings Simmons(20.4% pressure/rush) and Jackson(16.0%). Alignment and protection help will determine the actual matchups.

2026 at Florida · 1 games

TKL 1Solo 1Sacks 0TFL 0INT 0FF 0

Texas

4–1 overall | 1–1 SEC · AP #7 | Coaches #6

Pregame notes

  • Major SEC leaders: Simmons leads the FBS in sacks(9.5) and TFL(12.0); Biles shares the SEC interception lead(2).

Defense: pressure, tackling and coverage

  • Season pressure rate 41.1%, 1st in the SEC; third-down pressure 51.0%, 3rd.
    • 10 of 18 team sacks came against Tennessee. Simmons and Jackson each had 10 pressures in that game, but 5.5 and zero sack credits.
  • Run defense: 3.9 yards/carry allowed(4th-lowest), 20.9% stuff rate(6th-highest).
    • Broken/missed-tackle rate: 9.1%, lowest among the 16 SEC teams; Florida 14.5%, 11th-lowest.
    • Oklahoma: 3.6 yards/rush allowed, 32.1% stuffs, 7.5% broken/missed tackles. Texas's only game in the recent window.
  • Passing allowed: 853 yards/142 attempts, 6.01 Y/A; 2 TDs.
    • Coverage | Y/A allowed | SEC rank, lowest first
    • Man | 4.71 | 1 of 13
    • Zone | 6.86 | 3 of 16
    • Minimum 30 attempts in the coverage.

Offense: three leading targets, uneven blocking

  • Player | Targets | Rec | Yards | TD
    • Cam Coleman | 31 | 17 | 318 | 5
    • Ryan Wingo | 30 | 21 | 296 | 3
    • Emmett Mosley V | 28 | 17 | 216 | 0
  • The trio accounts for 59.3% of targets and 69.9% of receiving yards. Coleman drew 10 of 29 targets against Oklahoma.
  • Run blown blocks: 23/159 team blocking snaps, 14.5 per 100, second-highest in the SEC.
    • Goosby: 6/141 run-block snaps(4.26%), but zero recorded blown pass blocks in 180 snaps.
  • 44.8% rushing success(12th), 18.0% runs stuffed(12th), 2.89 line yards/rush(14th) in SEC ranks.

2026 team totals

Statistic Total Statistic Total
Points 157 Pts allowed 80
Total yd 1,896 Yd allowed 1,322
Pass yd 1,185 Rush yd 711
Sacks 18 Takeaways 5

Arch ManningQB · #16

  • 7.65 yards/attempt, 10th among SEC QBs with at least 100 attempts.
  • Depth | Cmp/Att | Yards | TD | INT
    • 10-19 air yards | 17/33 | 300 | 3 | 2
    • 20+ air yards | 9/20 | 315 | 2 | 3
  • Zone: 67-for-102, 889 yards, 8.72 Y/A, with all five INTs. Man: 7-for-19, 111 yards, 5.84 Y/A.
  • Deep throws offer explosive gains and interception chances.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

Cmp/Att 92/146Pass yd 1,122Pass TD 10INT 5Rush yd 102Rush TD 0

Cam ColemanWR · #8

  • 31 targets, 17 catches, 318 yards and 5 TDs through five games.
  • 10 of 29 Texas targets against Oklahoma. Season balance does not mean an equal split each week.
  • Coleman, Wingo and Mosley have 31, 30 and 28 targets; together, 59.3% of Texas targets and 69.9% of receiving yards.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

Rec 17Rec yd 318Rec TD 5Rush yd 0

Ryan WingoWR · #1

  • 30 targets, 21 catches, 296 yards and 3 TDs through five games.
  • Wingo and Coleman account for 8 of Texas's 10 receiving TDs.
  • Coleman, Wingo and Mosley have 31, 30 and 28 targets; together, 59.3% of Texas targets and 69.9% of receiving yards.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

Rec 21Rec yd 296Rec TD 3Rush yd -10

Emmett Mosley VWR · #3

  • 28 targets, 17 catches, 216 yards and 0 TDs through five games.
  • Only three targets behind team leader Coleman; the usage is close despite having no receiving TDs.
  • Coleman, Wingo and Mosley have 31, 30 and 28 targets; together, 59.3% of Texas targets and 69.9% of receiving yards.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

Rec 17Rec yd 216Rec TD 0Rush yd 0

Rasheem BilesLB · #3

  • Tied for the SEC lead in INTs(2) and INTs/game(0.40); 5th in the league in total tackles(42).
  • Texas's leading tackler had 13 at Tennessee and 12 against Oklahoma. He also has 4.5 TFL.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

TKL 42Solo 21Sacks 1TFL 4.5INT 2FF 1

Colin SimmonsEDGE · #1

  • Leads the FBS in sacks(9.5), sacks/game(1.90), TFL(12.0) and TFL/game(2.40). Also SEC-leading with 2 forced fumbles.

  • His 5.5 sacks at Tennessee set the Texas single-game record and tied the SEC record.

  • 21 pressures/103 rushes(20.4%) and 9.5 sacks in five games.

    • Split | Pressures/Rushes | Pressure% | Sacks
    • Tennessee | 10/29 | 34.5% | 5.5
    • Other four games | 11/74 | 14.9% | 4.0

  • Tennessee supplied 57.9% of his sacks, but the production extends beyond that game.

  • Jackson also had 10 pressures on 29 rushes against Tennessee, with zero sacks. Pressures and sacks show different parts of the matchup.

2026 at Texas · 5 games

TKL 17Solo 12Sacks 9.5TFL 12INT 0FF 2

Lance JacksonEDGE · #40

  • 17 pressures/106 rushes(16.0%), with 1 sack.
  • Tennessee: 10 pressures on 29 rushes, matching Simmons's pressure count and opportunities.
    • Simmons had 5.5 sacks; Jackson had zero. A low sack total does not capture his pressure production.

2026 at Texas · 3 games

TKL 10Solo 4Sacks 1TFL 1.5INT 0FF 0